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From Protest to Persecution: The Lasting Impact of the 2018 Crackdown in Nicaragua

From Protest to Persecution: The Lasting Impact of the 2018 Crackdown in Nicaragua

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Photo: Nicaragua - Cordelia Persen

The Nicaragua 2018 crackdown changed the country forever. In April 2018, ordinary Nicaraguans took to the streets to protest planned changes to the social security system. The government of President Daniel Ortega responded with extreme violence. Police and pro-government armed groups killed more than 300 people in just a few months. Since that moment, Nicaragua has become one of the most repressive states in the Western Hemisphere. For expert witnesses and asylum decision-makers, understanding the 2018 crisis and its lasting effects is essential when assessing claims from Nicaraguan nationals.

This article examines what happened during the Nicaragua 2018 crackdown, the systematic repression that followed, the mass exile of the Nicaraguan population, and the implications for asylum seekers. The evidence draws on reports from the OHCHR, the Inter-American Commission on Human Rights (IACHR), Human Rights Watch, Amnesty International, and UNHCR data.[1]

355+
Killed in 2018 protests (IACHR)
5,200+
NGOs shut down (2018-2025)
600K+
Nicaraguans fled since 2018
316
Citizens stripped of nationality

What Happened in April 2018

In April 2018, the Nicaraguan government announced reforms to the social security system. The reforms included higher contributions from workers and employers, and cuts to pension benefits. Students, pensioners, and workers began peaceful protests in cities across the country. The protests quickly grew. Soon, hundreds of thousands of people were marching in what became the largest demonstrations in Nicaragua's recent history.[2]

The Ortega government's response was brutal. Police and pro-government paramilitary groups (known as "turbas" or "parapolice") opened fire on demonstrators. They used live ammunition, rubber bullets, and tear gas. Snipers were deployed on rooftops. The violence was not random. It was organised and directed by the state. The IACHR documented the killing of at least 355 people between April and September 2018. More than 2,000 people were injured. Over 700 people were detained.[3]

The government also attacked the universities. Students at the National Autonomous University of Nicaragua (UNAN) in Managua were among the most active protesters. Security forces stormed the campus, killing several students and injuring many more. Churches that sheltered wounded protesters were also attacked. The Nicaragua 2018 crackdown was not just a response to protests. It was a deliberate campaign to crush all opposition through terror.

Post-2018: The Systematic Dismantling of Civil Society

After the initial violence of 2018, the Ortega government did not return to normal. Instead, it used the crisis as a reason to dismantle every independent institution in the country. The repression that followed the Nicaragua 2018 crackdown has been systematic, continuous, and far-reaching.

Shutdown of NGOs

One of the most striking actions was the mass closure of non-governmental organisations (NGOs). Between 2018 and 2025, the government shut down more than 5,200 NGOs. These included human rights groups, women's organisations, medical charities, environmental groups, and educational foundations. The government cancelled their legal registrations, seized their assets, and in some cases prosecuted their leaders.[4]

In 2023 alone, the government dissolved over 3,000 organisations in a single wave. This included the Jesuit order's University of Central America (UCA), one of the most important institutions of higher education in the country. The message was clear: no independent organisation would be allowed to exist outside of state control. For more context on how this relates to broader patterns in the region, see our human rights coverage.

Media Closures

Independent media has been almost completely destroyed. The government shut down newspapers, television stations, and radio stations. The most well-known example is Confidencial, the investigative news outlet run by journalist Carlos Fernando Chamorro. Police raided its offices and seized equipment. Chamorro and many other journalists were forced into exile. By 2024, Nicaragua had almost no independent media operating inside the country.[5]

Political Prisoners

Hundreds of people were imprisoned on political charges. These included student leaders, human rights defenders, journalists, business leaders, and opposition politicians. In the lead-up to the November 2021 elections, the government arrested seven presidential candidates and dozens of opposition figures. This ensured that Ortega faced no real competition. He "won" the election, which was widely condemned as illegitimate by the international community.[6]

Key Indicators of Repression in Nicaragua by Year
2018
355 killed / 700+ detained
355+
2019
139 political prisoners
139
2020
110 political prisoners
110
2021
170+ detained (election crackdown)
170+
2022
190+ political prisoners
190+
2023
3,000+ NGOs dissolved
3,000+
2024
Continued arrests and exile
ongoing
Figure 1: Key indicators of political repression in Nicaragua, 2018-2024. Sources: IACHR; Mechanism for the Recognition of Political Prisoners (MRPP); CIVICUS.

Stripping of Citizenship: A New Tool of Persecution

In February 2023, the government took an extreme and unusual step. It released 222 political prisoners and put them on a plane to the United States. However, it then stripped all 222 of their Nicaraguan citizenship. They became stateless overnight. The government also confiscated their property and froze their bank accounts.[7]

A few weeks later, the government stripped citizenship from 94 more people. These included prominent opposition figures, journalists, writers, and former government officials. Among them was Sergio Ramirez, a celebrated author and former Vice President. In total, more than 316 Nicaraguans have been stripped of their nationality. This means they have no passport, no legal identity in their home country, and no right to return.

This use of citizenship stripping as a weapon of political persecution is rare in modern history. It violates the Universal Declaration of Human Rights, which states that no person shall be arbitrarily deprived of their nationality. It also creates serious problems for asylum systems, as stateless individuals face unique legal challenges.[8]

Key Stages of Repression Since the Nicaragua 2018 Crackdown

Period Key Events Impact
April-Sept 2018 Mass protests; state violence kills 355+ people; 700+ detained Beginning of full-scale repression; international condemnation
2019-2020 Ongoing arbitrary arrests; criminalisation of protest; first NGO closures Civil society forced underground; self-censorship becomes widespread
2021 7 presidential candidates arrested; sham election in November Last pretence of democracy removed; Ortega consolidates total power
2022 Bishop Alvarez arrested; Catholic Church targeted; hundreds more NGOs closed Religious persecution escalates; no institution is safe
Feb 2023 222 political prisoners exiled to US; citizenship stripped Mass denationalisation; creation of stateless population
2023-2024 3,000+ NGOs dissolved; UCA university seized; 94 more stripped of citizenship Total destruction of independent civil society
2025 Continued surveillance, travel bans, and harassment of exiles' families Repression extends beyond borders; no safe space

Nicaragua is experiencing a profound human rights crisis. The systematic repression of all forms of dissent, the criminalisation of civil society, and the stripping of citizenship from political opponents represent grave violations of international law. The situation has not improved; it has only deepened.

-- OHCHR, Report of the Group of Human Rights Experts on Nicaragua, 2024

The Current Pattern of Repression

The repression that began with the Nicaragua 2018 crackdown has not stopped. It continues in several forms. First, the government still carries out arbitrary arrests. People are detained for social media posts, for contact with exiled Nicaraguans, or for past involvement in protests. Second, the government uses surveillance extensively. The Sandinista party (FSLN) controls neighbourhood committees called CPCs (Consejos del Poder Ciudadano). These committees monitor the activities of local people and report any suspicious behaviour to the authorities.[9]

Third, the government imposes travel bans. Many Nicaraguans are prevented from leaving the country. Their passports are confiscated at the airport, or they are told they are under investigation. Fourth, the families of exiled Nicaraguans face harassment. Parents, siblings, and children of people who fled the country have been summoned by police, had their homes searched, and been threatened. This is designed to punish exiles through their loved ones.

Additionally, the government controls all institutions. The judiciary, the electoral council, the national assembly, and the security forces all answer to the Ortega-Murillo family. There are no checks on power. There is no independent body that a person can turn to for protection. For those assessing country conditions, this total control is a defining feature of Nicaragua today.

The Scale of Exile: 10% of the Population Has Fled

The scale of displacement from Nicaragua is staggering. According to UNHCR data, more than 600,000 Nicaraguans have fled the country since 2018. Nicaragua has a population of about 6.6 million. This means roughly 10% of the entire population has left. This is one of the highest rates of displacement in the world relative to population size.[10]

The main destination countries are Costa Rica, the United States, Spain, and other Central American nations. Costa Rica hosts the largest number of Nicaraguan refugees and asylum seekers. The Nicaraguan diaspora in Costa Rica has grown to over 400,000 people. Many live in precarious conditions, working in the informal economy without full legal status.

In the United States, Nicaraguans have been among the top nationalities applying for asylum in recent years. Many arrived through the southern border after dangerous journeys through Central America and Mexico. Others were flown directly to the US after being released as political prisoners. The sheer number of people who have fled shows the depth of the crisis caused by the Nicaragua 2018 crackdown and its aftermath.[11]

Note for decision-makers: The fact that 10% of Nicaragua's population has fled since 2018 is itself strong evidence that the country is unsafe. This level of displacement is comparable to Syria, Venezuela, and Ukraine. It reflects a situation where large parts of the population see no future in their own country.

Implications for Asylum Claims

The Nicaragua 2018 crackdown and the ongoing repression create strong grounds for asylum under the 1951 Refugee Convention. The most relevant Convention ground is political opinion. This can be either actual political opinion (the person actively participated in protests or opposition activities) or imputed political opinion (the government believes the person opposes it, even if they did not actively protest).[12]

Many Nicaraguans face persecution based on imputed political opinion. The government views anyone who participated in the 2018 protests, who worked for a now-dissolved NGO, who studied at a university that supported protests, or who has family connections to exiled opposition figures as a political threat. This broad definition of "enemy" means that a very large number of Nicaraguans are at risk.

Other Convention grounds may also apply. Members of the Catholic Church face persecution on religious grounds (see our article on religious persecution in Nicaragua). Students and young people who participated in protests may constitute a particular social group. Indigenous Miskito people on the Caribbean coast, who have their own history of conflict with the central government, may face persecution based on ethnicity or political opinion.

For expert witnesses preparing reports on Nicaraguan asylum cases, the key points are: the state is the persecutor, there is no internal protection available, the repression is ongoing and systematic, and the risk extends to anyone the government perceives as an opponent. The asylum guide section provides further guidance on presenting claims involving political persecution.

Conclusion

The Nicaragua 2018 crackdown was not a temporary crisis. It was the beginning of a permanent transformation of Nicaragua into an authoritarian state. Since April 2018, the Ortega-Murillo government has killed hundreds of protesters, imprisoned thousands of opponents, shut down more than 5,200 NGOs, destroyed independent media, and stripped citizenship from over 300 people. More than 600,000 Nicaraguans have fled the country.

The repression continues today. There is no sign that the government intends to stop. For asylum seekers from Nicaragua, the evidence of systematic political persecution is overwhelming. Decision-makers must recognise that the Nicaragua 2018 crackdown created a crisis that is still unfolding. Every Nicaraguan who was involved in protests, civil society, independent media, or religious life faces a real risk of persecution if returned. The evidence demands that these claims are treated with the seriousness they deserve.


Footnotes

  1. IACHR, 'Gross Human Rights Violations in the Context of Social Protests in Nicaragua' (June 2018); OHCHR, 'Report of the Group of Human Rights Experts on Nicaragua' (2024)
  2. IACHR, 'Special Monitoring Mechanism for Nicaragua (MESENI): First Report' (2018); International Crisis Group, 'A Road to Dialogue After Nicaragua's Crushed Uprising' (December 2018)
  3. IACHR, 'Gross Human Rights Violations in the Context of Social Protests in Nicaragua' (June 2018), para 82-115; Amnesty International, 'Instilling Terror: From Lethal Force to Persecution in Nicaragua' (October 2018)
  4. CIVICUS, 'Nicaragua: Civic Space Monitor' (2024); Confidencial, 'More Than 5,000 NGOs Dissolved Since 2018' (2024); IACHR, 'Press Release on Mass Dissolution of Nicaraguan Civil Society Organisations' (2023)
  5. Reporters Without Borders, 'Nicaragua: Press Freedom Profile 2025' (2025); Committee to Protect Journalists, 'Nicaragua: Attacks on the Press' (2024)
  6. Human Rights Watch, 'Nicaragua: Ortega Tightens Authoritarian Grip' (January 2022); OAS General Assembly, 'Resolution on the Situation in Nicaragua' (November 2021)
  7. Reuters, 'Nicaragua Frees 222 Political Prisoners, Flies Them to US' (February 2023); Decree No. 01-2023, National Assembly of Nicaragua, Stripping Citizenship of 222 Individuals (February 2023)
  8. UNHCR, 'Statement on the Stripping of Nationality of Nicaraguan Citizens' (February 2023); Universal Declaration of Human Rights, Art 15; American Convention on Human Rights, Art 20
  9. International Crisis Group, 'Nicaragua's Deepening Authoritarian Crisis' (2024); Amnesty International, 'Nicaragua: The Government Against Its People' (2023)
  10. UNHCR, 'Global Trends: Forced Displacement in 2024' (June 2025); UNHCR, 'Nicaragua Situation Update' (2024)
  11. USCIS, 'Asylum Statistics by Nationality' (2024); UNHCR Costa Rica, 'Nicaraguan Refugee Population Update' (2024)
  12. UNHCR, 'International Protection Considerations with Regard to People Fleeing Nicaragua' (2023); UNHCR, 'Handbook on Procedures and Criteria for Determining Refugee Status' (reissued 2019), paras 80-86

Sources

  1. Human Rights Watch, Nicaragua: Country Page, 2018-2025
  2. Amnesty International, Nicaragua: Reports and Publications, 2018-2025
  3. UNHCR, Nicaragua Situation: Data and Reports, 2023-2025
  4. Freedom House, Freedom in the World 2025: Nicaragua, 2025
  5. CIVICUS, Civic Space Monitor: Nicaragua, 2024
  6. Reporters Without Borders, Nicaragua: Press Freedom Profile, 2025
  7. International Crisis Group, Nicaragua: Reports and Briefings, 2018-2024
  8. Committee to Protect Journalists, Nicaragua: Attacks on the Press, 2024
  9. UNHCR, Global Trends: Forced Displacement in 2024, June 2025

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