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Amhara-Tigray Conflict: Ethnic Targeting That Drives Asylum Claims

Amhara-Tigray Conflict: Ethnic Targeting That Drives Asylum Claims

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Photo: Stop the Amhara Genocide in Ethiopia #3 - Alisdare Hickson

The Ethiopia Amhara Tigray conflict is, in fact, two overlapping conflicts. The first is the Tigray war of 2020-2022, in which Amhara regional forces fought alongside federal forces and Eritrean troops against Tigrayan armed groups — and committed extensive abuses against ethnic Tigrayan civilians, particularly in Western Tigray. The second is the Amhara conflict that began in mid-2023, in which federal forces have fought Fano militia formations across Amhara region and detained ethnic Amharas in Addis Ababa. As a result, both ethnic Tigrayans and ethnic Amharas now produce significant asylum populations. This article maps the overlapping conflict, the targeting patterns affecting both communities, and the asylum implications in 2026.[1]

For wider context, see the Ethiopia country report and the article on Tigray war crimes.

2 wars
Tigray (2020-22) and Amhara (2023-present)
200k+
Tigrayans displaced from Western Tigray
10k+
Amharas detained in 2023 emergency
800+
Documented Amhara civilian deaths since Aug 2023

Historical Tensions

Tensions between ethnic Amhara and ethnic Tigrayan communities are not new. Both groups speak Semitic-family languages (Amharic and Tigrinya respectively) and share Ethiopian Orthodox Christian heritage. However, political dominance has shifted. The imperial era was Amhara-led. The 1974-1991 Derg regime had complex ethnic dynamics. The 1991-2018 EPRDF government was TPLF-led (Tigrayan). The 2018 transition produced renewed Amhara nationalism. The 2020 Tigray war then brought Amhara forces into direct conflict with Tigrayans. As a result, ethnic relations have deteriorated sharply since 2018.[2]

The Western Tigray dispute

Western Tigray (Welkait, Tsegede, Humera) is contested. Amhara nationalists historically claim it as an Amhara area annexed to Tigray by the TPLF in 1991. Tigrayans treat it as part of Tigray. The 1995 Constitution placed it within Tigray Regional State. The November 2020 Tigray war saw Amhara regional forces and Fano militias seize Western Tigray. Subsequently, ethnic cleansing of Tigrayans from Western Tigray was systematic and documented by HRW, Amnesty, and ICHREE.

Tigrayan Targeting by Amhara Forces (2020-2022)

During the Tigray war, Amhara regional special forces and Fano militias committed extensive abuses against Tigrayan civilians. Documented patterns include: forced displacement of hundreds of thousands of Tigrayans from Western Tigray; killings, sexual violence, and pillage; mass detention of Tigrayan men of fighting age; and confiscation of identity documents.[3]

HRW's "We Will Erase You from This Land" findings

Human Rights Watch's April 2022 report documented the Western Tigray ethnic cleansing in detail. Findings include systematic forced displacement; killings of those who refused to leave; destruction of property; confiscation of livestock; and confiscation of Ethiopian ID cards (preventing return). HRW assessed that the conduct met the legal threshold for crimes against humanity and ethnic cleansing.

Amhara Targeting by Federal Forces (2023-present)

The Amhara conflict began in April 2023 when the federal government attempted to dissolve the Amhara Regional Special Forces. Many Amhara fighters refused to disarm or to be absorbed into the federal forces. Subsequently, Fano armed formations conducted attacks on federal facilities. The federal government declared a state of emergency in August 2023. Federal forces conducted aerial strikes and ground operations across Amhara region.[4]

Mass detention of ethnic Amharas in Addis Ababa

The 2023 state of emergency was used to detain ethnic Amhara civilians in Addis Ababa — many with no individual political profile. Reports document detention based on identity documents alone. UNHCHR and Amnesty International documented detention without charge in unregistered facilities. Family members were often not informed; lawyers were denied access. Furthermore, ethnic Amharas working in federal civil service or universities have faced suspension and dismissal.

Civilian harm in Amhara region:

UNHCHR has documented over 800 Amhara civilian deaths since August 2023, including in aerial strikes on towns and villages. Towns hit include Finote Selam, Debre Birhan, and others. Civilian casualties reflect both federal force operations and inter-communal violence in the chaotic conflict environment.

The Overlapping Pattern

For a Tigrayan civilian, threat comes principally from federal forces, Eritrean forces, and Amhara regional forces — particularly in Western Tigray. For an Amhara civilian, threat comes principally from federal forces and from intra-communal violence. As a result, both communities have produced significant asylum claims since 2020. Furthermore, members of either community living in Addis Ababa have faced detention waves linked to their respective regional conflicts.[5]

Both communities — Amhara and Tigrayan — bear deep wounds from overlapping conflicts. The federal government's choice of targets has shifted, but the pattern of mass arrest and ethnic profiling has remained.
Amnesty International, Ethiopia: 2024 Crackdown Report

Asylum Implications

Both ethnic Tigrayans and ethnic Amharas can carry strong asylum claims based on the Ethiopia Amhara Tigray conflict.[6]

Profile Convention ground Status in 2026
Tigrayan from Western Tigray Race; nationality (ethnicity) Cannot return; under Amhara administration
Tigrayan sexual violence survivor PSG; race Severe ongoing harm
Former Tigrayan combatant Political opinion; race Continuing surveillance and risk
Amhara Fano fighter or supporter Political opinion Active conflict; mass detention
Amhara civilian from conflict zone Race; nationality (ethnicity) Civilian harm in operations
Amhara opposition figure (NAMA, etc.) Political opinion Detention without charge
Ethnic Amhara in Addis Ababa Race; PSG Detention waves under emergency
Table 1: Asylum profiles arising from the overlapping Amhara-Tigray conflict.

The mutual-victim challenge for decision-makers

One difficulty in Ethiopian asylum cases is that decision-makers sometimes assume that an Amhara claimant cannot be a victim because the Amhara community held positions of power in the Tigray war — or that a Tigrayan claimant must be a TPLF supporter because the TPLF was the dominant Tigrayan political force. Both assumptions are wrong. Civilians of either ethnicity can be victims regardless of their community's political alignment. Furthermore, individual political beliefs and tribal/family contexts matter — a generic ethnic frame is inadequate for individual asylum analysis.

Evidence for Amhara-Tigray Cases

Strong cases include:[7]

  • Country expert report: Profile-matched analysis citing OHCHR-EHRC, ICHREE, HRW Western Tigray report, UNHCHR Amhara updates.
  • Personal narrative: Witness statement covering ethnic identity, region of origin, specific events, family circumstances.
  • Documentary evidence: Identity documents (where available); detention orders; medical records.
  • Medical/psychiatric evidence: Where torture, sexual violence, or detention trauma is part of the claim.
  • Diaspora context: Where surveillance of Ethiopian community organisations has been documented.

Conclusion

The Ethiopia Amhara Tigray conflict is two overlapping conflicts, each producing significant civilian harm and asylum populations. Tigrayans face continuing displacement from Western Tigray and the legacy of war crimes. Amharas face the active 2023-present conflict and mass detention. Decision-makers must engage with both communities' specific risk profiles rather than treating either community as monolithic. Therefore, profile-matched expert evidence is essential. To commission an Ethiopia expert report, use the find expert witness service. For broader context, see the country reports section.


Footnotes

  1. OHCHR-EHRC Joint Investigation Report (3 November 2021); HRW 'World Report 2025 — Ethiopia' (2025)
  2. Constitution of the Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia (1995), Art 47 (regions); ICG, 'Ethiopia: Updates' (2024)
  3. HRW, 'We Will Erase You from This Land: Crimes Against Humanity and Ethnic Cleansing in Western Tigray' (April 2022); ICHREE Reports (2022-2023)
  4. UNHCHR, 'Ethiopia: Amhara Conflict Situation Updates' (2023-2026); Amnesty International, 'Ethiopia: Amhara Detentions' (2024)
  5. UN OCHA, 'Ethiopia Humanitarian Updates' (2024); HRW, 'Ethiopia: Amhara Region' (2024-2025)
  6. UNHCR, 'Ethiopia Eligibility Guidelines' (2024); UK Home Office CPIN, 'Ethiopia: Tigrayans' and 'Ethiopia: Amharas' (2024)
  7. UK Upper Tribunal Practice Direction 10 (Expert Evidence) (2023)

Sources

  1. HRW, Ethiopia Reports, 2024-2025
  2. Amnesty International, Ethiopia, 2024-2025
  3. UN OCHA, Humanitarian Updates, 2024-2026
  4. UK Home Office, Ethiopia CPIN, 2024
  5. ICG, Ethiopia Analysis, 2024

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